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2024-12-14 00:32:58

Analyst: The interest rate of the European Central Bank will be pushed to the low end of the neutral range. Marchel Alexandrovich, an economist at Saltmarsh Economics, said that the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, which is the fourth time in this easing cycle. The monetary policy statement reiterated that the Committee would not commit to a specific interest rate path in advance. However, the new forecast shows that the core inflation rate is 1.9% in 2026 and 2027, which indicates that interest rates may continue to push to the low end of the neutral range.European Central Bank: It plans to stop reinvesting in the Emergency Anti-epidemic Bond Purchase Program (PEPP) by the end of 2024. Continue to reduce the emergency anti-epidemic bond purchase program (PEPP) by 7.5 billion euros per month.Domestic futures opened mixed at night, with Shanghai copper down 0.56%, Shanghai zinc down 0.39%, Shanghai nickel up 1.75%, iron ore up 0.06%, coking coal up 0.42% and crude oil up 1.15%.


The Bank of Japan's short-term survey may show that business confidence has hardly changed. It is reported that the short-term survey released by the Bank of Japan on Friday may show that the mood of large manufacturers has remained almost unchanged in the last quarter under the influence of complex signals such as the recovery of the automobile industry and concerns about the global economic slowdown. Economists surveyed by data provider Quick predict that the prosperity judgment index of large-scale manufacturing industry will be +12, compared with +13 in the last survey. The survey is closely watched for clues about the decision of the Bank of Japan at its meeting next week. If it shows strong capital expenditure plan, high inflation expectation and tight employment situation, it may support the idea of raising interest rates early.Bank of America Securities lowered the Adobe target price from $640.00 to $605.00.The downtime lasted more than 4 hours, and the failure of ChatGPT and Sora services has been fully repaired. On the afternoon of December 12, Beijing time, OpenAI updated the accident report and said that API, ChatGPT and Sora services have now fully resumed operation. Earlier today, OpenAI confirmed that ChatGPT, its chat robot, experienced a worldwide downtime, and Sora and API were also affected. It is understood that the fault lasted about 4 hours and 10 minutes. OpenAI said that it will conduct a comprehensive root cause analysis of this failure.


Reuters survey: Most economists believe that the tariff proposed by US President-elect Trump has little impact on the British economy; It is estimated that the Bank of England will cut interest rates by 100 basis points in 2025, and may cut interest rates by 25 basis points every quarter; A survey of 71 interviewed economists shows that the Bank of England's interest rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.75% on December 19th.The Israeli army launched several rounds of air strikes on many places in Gaza, resulting in 37 deaths. On December 12, local time, the reporter of the General Station was informed that the Israeli army launched several rounds of air strikes on Gaza City in the north, Nuseilet refugee camp in the middle and Khan Younis in the south of the Gaza since the early morning of that day, which has caused 37 deaths. At present, the Israeli side has not issued a statement on related events. (CCTV News)"39 people were pardoned and nearly 1,500 people were commuted", White House: Biden announced "the largest single-day commutation action in modern history", CBS, NBC and other media reported that the White House issued a statement on the 12th local time, saying that US President Biden announced that he would pardon 39 Americans convicted of non-violent crimes and commute the sentences of nearly 1,500 people who were released at home during the COVID-19 epidemic. According to the White House statement, this move represents "the largest single-day commutation action in modern history" in the United States. According to the statement, Biden said that he will take more relevant measures in the next few weeks and will continue to review petitions for pardon and commutation. (World Wide Web)

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